Waldo’s Best Picture Predictions

Now that all of the big preoscar award nominees have been announced I thought I’d have a little bit of fun estimating the Oscar candidates for best picture based on how many other award ceremonies nominated a film for best picture. The eight awards considered are National Board of Review, American Film Institute, Broadcast Film Critics Association, Golden Globes, Screen Actors Guild, and Producers Guild of America, Directors Guild of America, and Writers Guild of America.

The only film nominated for Best Picture by all of these groups is The Hurt Locker so you can rest assured that is a lock for the Oscars but we already knew that. The other films in descending order are as follows.

Precious 7 Best Picture Nominations
Up in the Air 7 Best Picture Nominations
Inglorious Basterds 6 Best Picture Nominations (This film was not eligible for a WGA)
Avatar 5 Best Picture Nominations

Now in a normal year we would be done and those would be our nominees but this is not a normal year at all. This year we have 10 nominees so we have to include the following.

An Education 4 Best Picture Nominations
A Serious Man 4 Best Picture Nominations
Up 4 Best Picture Nominations

That brings us to 8 and we have 5 films tied with 3 nominations each fighting for those last 2 spots.

(500) Days of Summer
The Hangover

I have to hope that the academy will not begin to think about nominating either of these films but after the Juno debacle you never know.

That leaves Invictus, Nine, and Star Trek to battle for the last 2 spots. The smart money is on Invictus and Nine as they both have Oscar bait written all over them but you never can tell. I loved Star Trek and it would be nice to see them get a nomination this year but I’m pretty sure that isn’t happening.

So there you have it, my 10 pics for the nominations.

The Hurt Locker
Precious
Up in the Air
Inglourious Basterds
Avatar
An Education
A Serious Man
Up
Invictus
Nine